no code implementations • 12 Oct 2022 • Daniel Ward, Patrick Cannon, Mark Beaumont, Matteo Fasiolo, Sebastian M Schmon
In this work we revisit neural posterior estimation (NPE), a class of algorithms that enable black-box parameter inference in simulation models, and consider the implication of a simulation-to-reality gap.
no code implementations • 23 Feb 2022 • Joel Dyer, Patrick Cannon, Sebastian M Schmon
Simulation models of complex dynamics in the natural and social sciences commonly lack a tractable likelihood function, rendering traditional likelihood-based statistical inference impossible.
1 code implementation • 23 Jun 2021 • Joel Dyer, Patrick Cannon, Sebastian M Schmon
Simulation models often lack tractable likelihood functions, making likelihood-free inference methods indispensable.
no code implementations • ICML Workshop INNF 2021 • Joel Dyer, Patrick W Cannon, Sebastian M Schmon
Our approach leverages deep signature transforms, trained concurrently with a neural density estimator, to produce informative statistics for multivariate sequential data that encode important geometric properties of the underlying path.
no code implementations • 13 Apr 2021 • Sebastian M Schmon, Philippe Gagnon
The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the target density is typically assumed to be of a product form.
1 code implementation • pproximateinference AABI Symposium 2021 • Sebastian M Schmon, Patrick W Cannon, Jeremias Knoblauch
Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has emerged as a key method in simulation-based inference, wherein the true model likelihood and posterior are approximated using samples from the simulator.