no code implementations • 24 Jan 2023 • Joseph de Vilmarest, Jethro Browell, Matteo Fasiolo, Yannig Goude, Olivier Wintenberger
The proliferation of local generation, demand response, and electrification of heat and transport are changing the fundamental drivers of electricity load and increasing the complexity of load modelling and forecasting.
no code implementations • 12 Oct 2022 • Daniel Ward, Patrick Cannon, Mark Beaumont, Matteo Fasiolo, Sebastian M Schmon
In this work we revisit neural posterior estimation (NPE), a class of algorithms that enable black-box parameter inference in simulation models, and consider the implication of a simulation-to-reality gap.
no code implementations • 8 Dec 2021 • Yvenn Amara-Ouali, Matteo Fasiolo, Yannig Goude, Hui Yan
In the context of smart grids and load balancing, daily peak load forecasting has become a critical activity for stakeholders of the energy industry.
1 code implementation • 20 May 2020 • Christian Capezza, Biagio Palumbo, Yannig Goude, Simon N. Wood, Matteo Fasiolo
We focus on forecasting demand at the individual household level, which is more challenging than forecasting aggregate demand, due to the lower signal-to-noise ratio and to the heterogeneity of consumption patterns across households.
1 code implementation • 8 Jan 2016 • Matteo Fasiolo, Simon N. Wood, Florian Hartig, Mark V. Bravington
The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference.
Methodology Applications