HOME: Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimation

In this paper, we propose HOME, a framework tackling the motion forecasting problem with an image output representing the probability distribution of the agent's future location. This method allows for a simple architecture with classic convolution networks coupled with attention mechanism for agent interactions, and outputs an unconstrained 2D top-view representation of the agent's possible future. Based on this output, we design two methods to sample a finite set of agent's future locations. These methods allow us to control the optimization trade-off between miss rate and final displacement error for multiple modalities without having to retrain any part of the model. We apply our method to the Argoverse Motion Forecasting Benchmark and achieve 1st place on the online leaderboard.

PDF Abstract

Datasets


Task Dataset Model Metric Name Metric Value Global Rank Result Benchmark
Motion Forecasting Argoverse CVPR 2020 HOME + GOHOME MR (K=6) 0.0846 # 298
minADE (K=1) 1.6986 # 223
minFDE (K=1) 3.681 # 238
MR (K=1) 0.5723 # 248
minADE (K=6) 0.8904 # 176
minFDE (K=6) 1.2919 # 234
DAC (K=6) 0.983 # 131
brier-minFDE (K=6) 1.8601 # 32

Methods