Search Results for author: Yannick Hoga

Found 4 papers, 1 papers with code

Regressions under Adverse Conditions

no code implementations22 Nov 2023 Timo Dimitriadis, Yannick Hoga

We introduce a new regression method that relates the mean of an outcome variable to covariates, given the "adverse condition" that a distress variable falls in its tail.

regression Time Series

Dynamic CoVaR Modeling

1 code implementation28 Jun 2022 Timo Dimitriadis, Yannick Hoga

In this article, we propose joint dynamic forecasting models for the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and CoVaR.

regression

On Testing Equal Conditional Predictive Ability Under Measurement Error

no code implementations21 Jun 2021 Yannick Hoga, Timo Dimitriadis

For such exactly robust loss functions, forecast loss differences are on average unaffected by the use of proxy variables and, thus, inference on conditional predictive ability can be carried out as usual.

Backtesting Systemic Risk Forecasts using Multi-Objective Elicitability

no code implementations20 Apr 2021 Tobias Fissler, Yannick Hoga

Systemic risk measures such as CoVaR, CoES and MES are widely-used in finance, macroeconomics and by regulatory bodies.

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