no code implementations • 22 Nov 2023 • Timo Dimitriadis, Yannick Hoga
We introduce a new regression method that relates the mean of an outcome variable to covariates, given the "adverse condition" that a distress variable falls in its tail.
1 code implementation • 28 Jun 2022 • Timo Dimitriadis, Yannick Hoga
In this article, we propose joint dynamic forecasting models for the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and CoVaR.
no code implementations • 21 Jun 2021 • Yannick Hoga, Timo Dimitriadis
For such exactly robust loss functions, forecast loss differences are on average unaffected by the use of proxy variables and, thus, inference on conditional predictive ability can be carried out as usual.
no code implementations • 20 Apr 2021 • Tobias Fissler, Yannick Hoga
Systemic risk measures such as CoVaR, CoES and MES are widely-used in finance, macroeconomics and by regulatory bodies.