Search Results for author: Timothy B. Armstrong

Found 9 papers, 7 papers with code

Adapting to Misspecification

1 code implementation23 May 2023 Timothy B. Armstrong, Patrick Kline, Liyang Sun

Empirical research typically involves a robustness-efficiency tradeoff.

Robust Estimation and Inference in Panels with Interactive Fixed Effects

no code implementations13 Oct 2022 Timothy B. Armstrong, Martin Weidner, Andrei Zeleneev

We consider estimation and inference for a regression coefficient in panels with interactive fixed effects (i. e., with a factor structure).

valid

Bias-Aware Inference in Regularized Regression Models

no code implementations29 Dec 2020 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, Soonwoo Kwon

We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients.

regression

Robust Empirical Bayes Confidence Intervals

2 code implementations7 Apr 2020 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár, Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

We construct robust empirical Bayes confidence intervals (EBCIs) in a normal means problem.

Sensitivity Analysis using Approximate Moment Condition Models

1 code implementation22 Aug 2018 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

We show that near-optimal confidence intervals (CIs) can be formed by taking a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator, and adding and subtracting the standard error times a critical value that takes into account the potential bias from misspecification of the moment conditions.

Econometrics Methodology

Finite-Sample Optimal Estimation and Inference on Average Treatment Effects Under Unconfoundedness

1 code implementation13 Dec 2017 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

We consider estimation and inference on average treatment effects under unconfoundedness conditional on the realizations of the treatment variable and covariates.

Applications Econometrics Methodology

Simple and Honest Confidence Intervals in Nonparametric Regression

1 code implementation3 Jun 2016 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

We show that using the bandwidth that minimizes the maximum mean-squared error results in CIs that are nearly efficient and that in this case, the critical value depends only on the rate of convergence.

Applications Statistics Theory Statistics Theory

Optimal inference in a class of regression models

1 code implementation19 Nov 2015 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

When the function class is centrosymmetric, these efficiency bounds imply that minimax CIs are close to efficient at smooth regression functions.

Statistics Theory Applications Statistics Theory

A Simple Adjustment for Bandwidth Snooping

1 code implementation30 Nov 2014 Timothy B. Armstrong, Michal Kolesár

This paper proposes a simple adjustment that gives correct coverage in such situations: replace the normal quantile with a critical value that depends only on the kernel and ratio of the maximum and minimum bandwidths the researcher has entertained.

Applications

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