Search Results for author: Paul W. Thurner

Found 2 papers, 0 papers with code

The Role of Governmental Weapons Procurements in Forecasting Monthly Fatalities in Intrastate Conflicts: A Semiparametric Hierarchical Hurdle Model

no code implementations15 Dec 2020 Cornelius Fritz, Marius Mehrl, Paul W. Thurner, Göran Kauermann

Accurate and interpretable forecasting models predicting spatially and temporally fine-grained changes in the numbers of intrastate conflict casualties are of crucial importance for policymakers and international non-governmental organisations (NGOs).

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