Search Results for author: Michael Ludkovski

Found 4 papers, 0 papers with code

Extreme Scenario Selection in Day-Ahead Power Grid Operational Planning

no code implementations20 Sep 2023 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano, Michael Ludkovski

We propose and analyze the application of statistical functional depth metrics for the selection of extreme scenarios in day-ahead grid planning.

Evaluating Gaussian Process Metamodels and Sequential Designs for Noisy Level Set Estimation

no code implementations18 Jul 2018 Xiong Lyu, Mickael Binois, Michael Ludkovski

We consider the problem of learning the level set for which a noisy black-box function exceeds a given threshold.

Generalized Probabilistic Bisection for Stochastic Root-Finding

no code implementations2 Nov 2017 Sergio Rodriguez, Michael Ludkovski

We consider numerical schemes for root finding of noisy responses through generalizing the Probabilistic Bisection Algorithm (PBA) to the more practical context where the sampling distribution is unknown and location-dependent.

Thompson Sampling

Sequential Design and Spatial Modeling for Portfolio Tail Risk Measurement

no code implementations14 Oct 2017 Michael Ludkovski, James Risk

In the respective nested simulation framework, the goal is to estimate portfolio tail risk, quantified via VaR or TVaR of a given collection of future economic scenarios representing factor levels at the risk horizon.

Uncertainty Quantification

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