Search Results for author: Laurent Callot

Found 15 papers, 6 papers with code

MELODY: Robust Semi-Supervised Hybrid Model for Entity-Level Online Anomaly Detection with Multivariate Time Series

no code implementations18 Jan 2024 Jingchao Ni, Gauthier Guinet, Peihong Jiang, Laurent Callot, Andrey Kan

We begin by identifying the challenges unique to this anomaly detection problem, which is at entity-level (e. g., deployments), relative to the more typical problem of anomaly detection in multivariate time series (MTS).

Anomaly Detection Time Series

Criteria for Classifying Forecasting Methods

no code implementations7 Dec 2022 Tim Januschowski, Jan Gasthaus, Yuyang Wang, David Salinas, Valentin Flunkert, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, Laurent Callot

Classifying forecasting methods as being either of a "machine learning" or "statistical" nature has become commonplace in parts of the forecasting literature and community, as exemplified by the M4 competition and the conclusion drawn by the organizers.

SpectraNet: Multivariate Forecasting and Imputation under Distribution Shifts and Missing Data

1 code implementation22 Oct 2022 Cristian Challu, Peihong Jiang, Ying Nian Wu, Laurent Callot

In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data.

Imputation Multivariate Time Series Forecasting +1

Unsupervised Model Selection for Time-series Anomaly Detection

1 code implementation3 Oct 2022 Mononito Goswami, Cristian Challu, Laurent Callot, Lenon Minorics, Andrey Kan

The practical problem of selecting the most accurate model for a given dataset without labels has received little attention in the literature.

Model Selection Supervised Anomaly Detection +2

Robust Projection based Anomaly Extraction (RPE) in Univariate Time-Series

no code implementations31 May 2022 Mostafa Rahmani, Anoop Deoras, Laurent Callot

This paper presents a novel, closed-form, and data/computation efficient online anomaly detection algorithm for time-series data.

Anomaly Detection Time Series +1

Deep Generative model with Hierarchical Latent Factors for Time Series Anomaly Detection

1 code implementation15 Feb 2022 Cristian Challu, Peihong Jiang, Ying Nian Wu, Laurent Callot

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has become an active area of research in recent years, with Deep Learning models outperforming previous approaches on benchmark datasets.

Anomaly Detection Time Series +1

Online Time Series Anomaly Detection with State Space Gaussian Processes

no code implementations18 Jan 2022 Christian Bock, François-Xavier Aubet, Jan Gasthaus, Andrey Kan, Ming Chen, Laurent Callot

We propose r-ssGPFA, an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series building on the efficient state space formulation of Gaussian processes.

Anomaly Detection Gaussian Processes +2

Online false discovery rate control for anomaly detection in time series

no code implementations NeurIPS 2021 Quentin Rebjock, Barış Kurt, Tim Januschowski, Laurent Callot

The methods proposed in this article overcome short-comings of previous FDRC rules in the context of anomaly detection, in particular ensuring that power remains high even when the alternative is exceedingly rare (typical in anomaly detection) and the test statistics are serially dependent (typical in time series).

Anomaly Detection Time Series +1

Spliced Binned-Pareto Distribution for Robust Modeling of Heavy-tailed Time Series

1 code implementation21 Jun 2021 Elena Ehrlich, Laurent Callot, François-Xavier Aubet

This work proposes a novel method to robustly and accurately model time series with heavy-tailed noise, in non-stationary scenarios.

Anomaly Detection Time Series +1

A simple and effective predictive resource scaling heuristic for large-scale cloud applications

no code implementations3 Aug 2020 Valentin Flunkert, Quentin Rebjock, Joel Castellon, Laurent Callot, Tim Januschowski

We propose a simple yet effective policy for the predictive auto-scaling of horizontally scalable applications running in cloud environments, where compute resources can only be added with a delay, and where the deployment throughput is limited.

High-Dimensional Multivariate Forecasting with Low-Rank Gaussian Copula Processes

2 code implementations NeurIPS 2019 David Salinas, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, Laurent Callot, Roberto Medico, Jan Gasthaus

Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting.

Anomaly Detection Management +3

Vector Autoregressions with Parsimoniously Time Varying Parameters and an Application to Monetary Policy

no code implementations4 Nov 2014 Laurent Callot, Johannes Tang Kristensen

By simulation experiments we investigate the properties of the Lasso and the adaptive Lasso in settings where the parameters are stable, experience structural breaks, or follow a parsimonious random walk.

valid

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