no code implementations • 18 Jan 2024 • Jingchao Ni, Gauthier Guinet, Peihong Jiang, Laurent Callot, Andrey Kan
We begin by identifying the challenges unique to this anomaly detection problem, which is at entity-level (e. g., deployments), relative to the more typical problem of anomaly detection in multivariate time series (MTS).
no code implementations • 7 Dec 2022 • Tim Januschowski, Jan Gasthaus, Yuyang Wang, David Salinas, Valentin Flunkert, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, Laurent Callot
Classifying forecasting methods as being either of a "machine learning" or "statistical" nature has become commonplace in parts of the forecasting literature and community, as exemplified by the M4 competition and the conclusion drawn by the organizers.
1 code implementation • 22 Oct 2022 • Cristian Challu, Peihong Jiang, Ying Nian Wu, Laurent Callot
In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data.
1 code implementation • 3 Oct 2022 • Mononito Goswami, Cristian Challu, Laurent Callot, Lenon Minorics, Andrey Kan
The practical problem of selecting the most accurate model for a given dataset without labels has received little attention in the literature.
no code implementations • 31 May 2022 • Mostafa Rahmani, Anoop Deoras, Laurent Callot
This paper presents a novel, closed-form, and data/computation efficient online anomaly detection algorithm for time-series data.
no code implementations • 23 Feb 2022 • Lenon Minorics, Caner Turkmen, David Kernert, Patrick Bloebaum, Laurent Callot, Dominik Janzing
This paper proposes a new approach for testing Granger non-causality on panel data.
1 code implementation • 15 Feb 2022 • Cristian Challu, Peihong Jiang, Ying Nian Wu, Laurent Callot
Multivariate time series anomaly detection has become an active area of research in recent years, with Deep Learning models outperforming previous approaches on benchmark datasets.
no code implementations • 18 Jan 2022 • Christian Bock, François-Xavier Aubet, Jan Gasthaus, Andrey Kan, Ming Chen, Laurent Callot
We propose r-ssGPFA, an unsupervised online anomaly detection model for uni- and multivariate time series building on the efficient state space formulation of Gaussian processes.
no code implementations • NeurIPS 2021 • Quentin Rebjock, Barış Kurt, Tim Januschowski, Laurent Callot
The methods proposed in this article overcome short-comings of previous FDRC rules in the context of anomaly detection, in particular ensuring that power remains high even when the alternative is exceedingly rare (typical in anomaly detection) and the test statistics are serially dependent (typical in time series).
1 code implementation • 21 Jun 2021 • Elena Ehrlich, Laurent Callot, François-Xavier Aubet
This work proposes a novel method to robustly and accurately model time series with heavy-tailed noise, in non-stationary scenarios.
no code implementations • 15 Sep 2020 • Luyang Kong, Lifan Chen, Ming Chen, Parminder Bhatia, Laurent Callot
Anomaly detectors are often designed to catch statistical anomalies.
no code implementations • 3 Aug 2020 • Valentin Flunkert, Quentin Rebjock, Joel Castellon, Laurent Callot, Tim Januschowski
We propose a simple yet effective policy for the predictive auto-scaling of horizontally scalable applications running in cloud environments, where compute resources can only be added with a delay, and where the deployment throughput is limited.
1 code implementation • 21 Apr 2020 • Konstantinos Benidis, Syama Sundar Rangapuram, Valentin Flunkert, Yuyang Wang, Danielle Maddix, Caner Turkmen, Jan Gasthaus, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, David Salinas, Lorenzo Stella, Francois-Xavier Aubet, Laurent Callot, Tim Januschowski
Deep learning based forecasting methods have become the methods of choice in many applications of time series prediction or forecasting often outperforming other approaches.
2 code implementations • NeurIPS 2019 • David Salinas, Michael Bohlke-Schneider, Laurent Callot, Roberto Medico, Jan Gasthaus
Predicting the dependencies between observations from multiple time series is critical for applications such as anomaly detection, financial risk management, causal analysis, or demand forecasting.
no code implementations • 4 Nov 2014 • Laurent Callot, Johannes Tang Kristensen
By simulation experiments we investigate the properties of the Lasso and the adaptive Lasso in settings where the parameters are stable, experience structural breaks, or follow a parsimonious random walk.