Search Results for author: Elisa Voisin

Found 3 papers, 0 papers with code

Detecting common bubbles in multivariate mixed causal-noncausal models

no code implementations23 Jul 2022 Gianluca Cubadda, Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin

This paper proposes methods to investigate whether the bubble patterns observed in individual series are common to various series.

A short term credibility index for central banks under inflation targeting: an application to Brazil

no code implementations2 May 2022 Alain Hecq, Joao Issler, Elisa Voisin

This paper uses predictive densities obtained via mixed causal-noncausal autoregressive models to evaluate the statistical sustainability of Brazilian inflation targeting system with the tolerance bounds.

Predicting crashes in oil prices during the COVID-19 pandemic with mixed causal-noncausal models

no code implementations25 Nov 2019 Alain Hecq, Elisa Voisin

This paper aims at shedding light upon how transforming or detrending a series can substantially impact predictions of mixed causal-noncausal (MAR) models, namely dynamic processes that depend not only on their lags but also on their leads.

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