no code implementations • 23 Sep 2021 • Kory D. Johnson, Annemarie Grass, Daniel Toneian, Mathias Beiglböck, Jitka Polechová
Our simulation functions as a dynamic compartment model in which an individual's history of infection, vaccination, and possible reinfection all play a role in their resistance to further infections.
no code implementations • 16 Dec 2020 • Kory D. Johnson, Mathias Beiglböck, Manuel Eder, Annemarie Grass, Joachim Hermisson, Gudmund Pammer, Jitka Polechová, Daniel Toneian, Benjamin Wölfl
Our models demonstrate that the estimation uncertainty of the reproduction number increases with superspreading and that this improves the performance of prediction intervals.