THOMAS: Trajectory Heatmap Output with learned Multi-Agent Sampling

In this paper, we propose THOMAS, a joint multi-agent trajectory prediction framework allowing for an efficient and consistent prediction of multi-agent multi-modal trajectories. We present a unified model architecture for simultaneous agent future heatmap estimation, in which we leverage hierarchical and sparse image generation for fast and memory-efficient inference. We propose a learnable trajectory recombination model that takes as input a set of predicted trajectories for each agent and outputs its consistent reordered recombination. This recombination module is able to realign the initially independent modalities so that they do no collide and are coherent with each other. We report our results on the Interaction multi-agent prediction challenge and rank $1^{st}$ on the online test leaderboard.

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Results from the Paper


Task Dataset Model Metric Name Metric Value Global Rank Result Benchmark
Motion Forecasting Argoverse CVPR 2020 THOMAS MR (K=6) 0.1038 # 294
minADE (K=1) 1.6686 # 241
minFDE (K=1) 3.593 # 257
MR (K=1) 0.5613 # 260
minADE (K=6) 0.9423 # 151
minFDE (K=6) 1.4388 # 165
DAC (K=6) 0.9781 # 175
brier-minFDE (K=6) 1.9736 # 67
Trajectory Prediction nuScenes THOMAS MinADE_5 1.33 # 6
MinADE_10 1.04 # 7
MissRateTopK_2_5 0.55 # 8
MissRateTopK_2_10 0.42 # 7
MinFDE_1 6.71 # 3
OffRoadRate 0.03 # 5

Methods