1 code implementation • 14 Jun 2023 • Raphael Rossellini, Rina Foygel Barber, Rebecca Willett
The reason is that the prediction intervals of CQR do not distinguish between two forms of uncertainty: first, the variability of the conditional distribution of $Y$ given $X$ (i. e., aleatoric uncertainty), and second, our uncertainty in estimating this conditional distribution (i. e., epistemic uncertainty).
1 code implementation • 29 Nov 2022 • Elena Orlova, Haokun Liu, Raphael Rossellini, Benjamin A. Cash, Rebecca Willett
Producing high-quality forecasts of key climate variables, such as temperature and precipitation, on subseasonal time scales has long been a gap in operational forecasting.